⚡ SportiBot
Analysis25 Aug

La Liga: Market Movements and Absences of the Matchday

Three matches registered line drops exceeding 7% in markets with 500-unit limits, while several clubs arrive at the matchday with considerable absence lists.

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Spain - La Liga

The La Liga matchday brought notable activity in three monitored markets, with Alavés vs Villarreal leading the movements by registering a drop of nearly 10% on the home team line. The Barcelona, Real Madrid and Levante matches did not present available market data for analysis, but their respective absence lists merit recording. Overall, the market was more active in mixed division encounters and matchups with greater squad uncertainty.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad
Wed 26 19:00 UTC
no movement
Absences

Real Madrid: Rodrygo (injury - knee), Asencio (injury - muscle, defender), Mendy (injury - thigh), Militao (injury - hamstring, centre-back), Thiago Pitarch (injury - knee, midfielder).
Real Sociedad: Marin (injury - undisclosed), Guedes (injury - not ready to compete), Odriozola (injury), Gorrotxategi (injury).

Note:
Endrick was a major doubt with a muscle problem but was looking to prove fitness in time to make the bench
, and
Tchouameni was returning from a muscular problem and should come into the matchday squad
— neither is confirmed absent for this match.

---

Real Madrid: Rodrygo (injury - knee), Militao (injury - hamstring, centre-back), Mendy (injury - thigh), Asencio (injury - muscle, defender), Thiago Pitarch (injury - knee, midfielder).
Real Sociedad: Marin (injury), Guedes (injury - not match-ready), Odriozola (injury), Gorrotxategi (injury).

Real Madrid arrive at the match without Rodrygo, Militão, Mendy, Asencio and Thiago Pitarch, while Real Sociedad register the absences of Marín, Guedes, Odriozola and Gorrotxategi; no line movement data was recorded for this encounter.
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
Thu 27 18:30 UTC
2.95 → 2.74−7.1%
Absences

**Note:** The original match (Matchday 1) was postponed due to a pitch fungus issue and rescheduled. The August 27 fixture is Matchday 2. Sources conflict slightly, but here is what is confirmed for the Aug 27 match:

Celta Vigo:
Matías Vecino (injury), Javi Galán (injury).

Pablo Durán (injury – shoulder surgery, return uncertain).


Osasuna: No confirmed absences found for this specific fixture beyond what was listed for a prior match.

---

Celta Vigo: Matías Vecino [injury], Javi Galán [injury], Pablo Durán [injury - shoulder surgery]
Osasuna: No confirmed absences found.

The Over 1.25 market dropped from 2.950 to 2.740, a drop of 7.1%, in a match where Celta Vigo do not have Vecino, Javi Galán and Pablo Durán, while Osasuna register no confirmed absences.
Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao
Thu 27 19:00 UTC
no movement
Absences

Barcelona: Roony Bardghji (injury – torn ACL),
Frenkie de Jong (injury – knee ligament),

Gavi (injury).

Rodri also listed as injured.



Athletic Bilbao: Unai Eguiluz (injury), Daniel Vivian (injury), Nico Serrano (injury), Yuri Berchiche (suspension – left-back).

Barcelona arrive without Bardghji, Frenkie de Jong, Gavi and Rodri, and Athletic Bilbao register the absences of Eguiluz, Vivian, Nico Serrano and Yuri Berchiche through suspension; no line movement data was recorded for this encounter.
Racing Santander vs Elche
Fri 28 17:00 UTC
3.05 → 2.83−7.2%
Absences

Racing Santander: Pedro Felipe (injury).
Elche: Yago Santiago (forward, injury), Adam Boayar (forward, injury), Grady Diangana (midfielder, injury), Abiel Osorio (forward, not match-fit/fitness).

The Elche -0.5 line dropped from 3.050 to 2.830, a drop of 7.2%, in a match where Elche do not have Yago Santiago, Boayar, Diangana and Osorio, and Racing Santander register the absence of Pedro Felipe.
Alaves vs Villarreal
Fri 28 19:30 UTC
2.72 → 2.45−9.9%
Absences

Alavés: Facundo Garcés (suspension), Carlos Protesoni (injury), Lucas Boyé (injury).



Villarreal: Willy Kambwala (injury), Pau Cabanes (injury).

The Alavés line dropped from 2.720 to 2.450, a drop of 9.9% — the largest movement of the matchday —, in a match where Alavés do not have Garcés (suspension), Protesoni and Boyé, while Villarreal register the absences of Kambwala and Pau Cabanes.
Levante vs Real Betis
Sat 29 15:00 UTC
no movement
Absences

Levante: no confirmed absences.
Real Betis:
Diego Conde (injury), Ismael Barea (injury).

Real Betis do not have Diego Conde and Ismael Barea, while Levante register no confirmed absences; no line movement data was recorded for this encounter.
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
Sat 29 17:00 UTC
no movement
Absences

The most specific and recent source for the August 29 fixture is the OneFootball article (Aug 21, 2026) covering Real Sociedad's squad news for the current La Liga campaign, the Sports Mole article on Espanyol vs Real Madrid (Aug 22), and the Fotmob page for the May 24 match (which is outdated). The OneFootball source confirms Real Sociedad's absentees for the start of the 2026/27 season. The Sports Mole Espanyol article (for Aug 22 vs Real Madrid) is the most current Espanyol injury data available. No source specifically covers the Aug 29 fixture yet, but the injury statuses reported days earlier are the best confirmed data available.

Real Sociedad: Odriozola (injury), Gorrotxategi (injury), Pablo Marín (not ready/injury), Gonçalo Guedes (not ready/injury), Jon Karrikaburu (technical decision — per OneFootball Aug 21 source, for the Betis match days earlier; may have changed).

For Espanyol, the Sports Mole Aug 22 article (Espanyol vs Real Madrid) listed: Kike Garcia (hamstring), Javi Puado (knee), Leandro Cabrera (suspended). Leandro Cabrera's suspension was for the Aug 22 match; it may have been served. I will only report what is confirmed as ongoing injury, not a one-match suspension already served.

Real Sociedad: Odriozola (injury), Gorrotxategi (injury) — confirmed by OneFootball Aug 21.
Espanyol: Kike Garcia (hamstring), Javi Puado (knee) — confirmed injuries per Sports

Real Sociedad maintain the absences of Odriozola and Gorrotxategi, while Espanyol do not have Kike Garcia and Javi Puado; no line movement data was recorded for this encounter.

Absence information collected on 2026-08-25. Squads may change until the opening whistle.

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