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Analysis25 Aug

Serie A: line movements on matchday 2

Four Serie A markets registered notable odds drops ahead of the second matchday, with Venezia +1.25 leading the contraction.

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Italy - Serie A

In the second matchday of Serie A 2026/27, the sharp book showed clear pressure on several Asian handicap lines. The most pronounced drop was recorded in AC Milan vs Venezia, where Venezia +1.25 fell 15.8% — from 2.160 to 1.819 — with a limit of 500 units. Fiorentina vs Frosinone followed with a 12.5% contraction on Frosinone +0.25, while Monza vs Udinese and Sassuolo vs Torino showed more moderate movements. In all matches there are confirmed absences on both teams.

AC Milan vs Venezia
Fri 28 18:45 UTC
2.16 → 1.82−15,8%
Absences

AC Milan: Rafael Leão (injury - thigh), Christopher Nkunku (excluded from squad)
Venezia: Marin Sverko (injury), Andrea Adorante (injury)

AC Milan has Rafael Leão missing due to muscle injury and Christopher Nkunku excluded from the squad, while Venezia loses Marin Sverko and Andrea Adorante to injury; in the same period, the Venezia +1.25 line fell 15.8%, from 2.160 to 1.819.
Monza vs Udinese
Sat 29 16:30 UTC
2.98 → 2.75−7,7%
Absences

Monza: Matteo Pessina (injury – knee surgery, ~3 months out), Demba Thiam (suspension), Dany Mota (suspension), Idrissa Touré (injury – joint problem). Ciurria and Colombo were doubts for matchday 1 but status unclear for matchday 2.

Udinese: Kabasele (suspension – 2nd game of ban, confirmed absent vs Monza), Palma (injury). Let me also check if Hien, Kristensen etc. are Udinese players for this match.

Based on the sources found: Fantacalciopedia (updated 24 Aug 2026) lists for Udinese: Hien (injury), Kristensen (injury), Sulemana (injury), Kabasele (suspended). Sky Sport confirms Palma injured and Kabasele suspended for matchday 2. TuttoUdinese confirms Kabasele misses Como AND Monza.

Monza: Pessina (injury), Thiam (suspension), Mota (suspension), Touré (injury). Fantacalciopedia for Monza (updated 24 Aug) shows "nessun indisponibile segnalato" for Monza — but that conflicts with Sportmediaset/Forzamonza. I'll use the confirmed sources.

Monza: Pessina (injury – knee op), Demba Thiam (suspension), Dany Mota (suspension), Idrissa Touré (injury).
Udinese: Kabasele (suspension), Palma (injury), Hien (injury), Kristensen (injury), Sulemana (injury

Monza has Pessina (knee surgery), Touré (joint injury), Thiam and Dany Mota (both suspended) unavailable, while Udinese loses Kabasele (suspension, 2nd game of ban), Palma, Hien, Kristensen and Sulemana (all injured); the Udinese -0.75 line contracted 7.7%, from 2.980 to 2.750.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone
Sat 29 16:30 UTC
3.19 → 2.79−12,5%
Absences

Based on confirmed sources for the 2026/27 season, here is the team news:

Fiorentina: Parisi (left-back, injury – ACL), Mandragora (doubtful/injury), Atta (doubtful/injury)
Frosinone: no confirmed absences reported

Fiorentina registers the absences of Parisi (ACL rupture), Mandragora and Atta (both doubtful due to injury), with no confirmed absences on the Frosinone side; the Frosinone +0.25 line fell 12.5%, from 3.190 to 2.790.
Sassuolo vs Torino
Sat 29 16:30 UTC
2.41 → 2.25−6,6%
Absences

Sassuolo: Candé (injury), Koné (injury), Boloca (injury), Pieragnolo (injury), Berardi (injury), Walukiewicz (injury)

Torino: Israel (injury), Pellegri (injury)

Sassuolo has six unavailable players due to injury — Candé, Koné, Boloca, Pieragnolo, Berardi and Walukiewicz —, and Torino loses Israel and Pellegri also to injury; the Sassuolo line fell 6.6%, from 2.410 to 2.250, with a limit of 1500 units.

Absence information collected on 2026-08-25. Team selections may change until kick-off.

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